Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.346269 0.393656 0.447859 0.515050 0.596955 0.694681 0.821838
2024-12-15 0.277608 0.339572 0.418321 0.528348 0.682572 0.898507 1.238623
2024-12-22 0.230471 0.296226 0.386141 0.523305 0.737751 1.081359 1.727530
2024-12-29 0.202550 0.270642 0.369365 0.531422 0.810292 1.317355 2.461448
2025-01-05 0.174825 0.239729 0.337643 0.506842 0.819123 1.445143 3.091228
2025-01-12 0.152802 0.213676 0.308344 0.478649 0.811268 1.535358 3.723485
2025-01-19 0.136573 0.194240 0.286324 0.458006 0.811077 1.642226 4.535928
2025-01-26 0.131843 0.192096 0.292059 0.488524 0.925646 2.092061 7.306540
2025-02-02 0.131127 0.196196 0.308843 0.544052 1.119065 2.921191 14.634953
2025-02-09 0.127105 0.194132 0.314113 0.577173 1.273352 3.798114 28.577228
2025-02-16 0.121964 0.189470 0.313728 0.597761 1.404114 4.762860 58.358280
2025-02-23 0.115209 0.181203 0.305187 0.597570 1.473777 5.562181 113.586076
2025-03-02 0.105893 0.167911 0.286014 0.570406 1.454874 5.932692 192.098570
2025-03-09 0.099664 0.159883 0.276816 0.567096 1.521200 7.011077 612.040454
2025-03-16 0.093442 0.151318 0.265499 0.556168 1.557325 8.019575 3104.342863
2025-03-23 0.089340 0.146405 0.261282 0.563361 1.670380 10.079695 NaN
2025-03-30 0.083059 0.136769 0.245779 0.536283 1.628975 10.553003 NaN
2025-04-06 0.077101 0.127362 0.229931 0.505707 1.561373 10.627639 NaN
2025-04-13 0.072252 0.119830 0.217591 0.483418 1.524099 11.072796 NaN
2025-04-20 0.071579 0.120497 0.223625 0.516312 1.767093 16.958344 NaN
2025-04-27 0.072394 0.124212 0.237141 0.576331 2.214122 33.921998 NaN
2025-05-04 0.071562 0.124459 0.242516 0.612220 2.574818 62.076120 NaN
2025-05-11 0.070020 0.123078 0.243748 0.634561 2.881402 111.359257 NaN